Pz7
0x578d401ce85374a92961132e892d4e51f4cc913d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.13
- Volume
- $131.32
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $9.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? · Yes | 0.680 | 1.000 | $4.65 | +$1.49 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.935 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.075 | $1.14 | −$3.86 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.090 | $0.90 | −$1.10 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.246 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.037 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will monthly inflation be between 1.7% and 1.9% in January? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.780Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.991Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 02:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BUY | 0.6799998365 | $3.16 |
| 03-06 02:19 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 17:42 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 01-22 17:41 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 01-22 17:41 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999173 | $11.00 |
| 01-22 17:32 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.143999886 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:32 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:30 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 17:29 | Will monthly inflation be between 1.7% and 1.9% in January? | BUY | 0.0686539844 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:18 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 01-22 17:17 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 17:10 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |