PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Pz7

0x578d401ce85374a92961132e892d4e51f4cc913d

Realised P&L
$-13.13
Volume
$131.32
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$9.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? · Yes0.6801.000$4.65+$1.49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8900.935$2.10+$0.10
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? · Yes0.3300.075$1.14$3.86
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.090$0.90$1.10
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3000.246$0.82$0.18
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2200.037$0.17$0.83
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? · No0.4000.000$0.00$3.00
Will monthly inflation be between 1.7% and 1.9% in January? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 02:32Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?BUY0.6799998365$3.16
03-06 02:19Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.2$10.00
01-22 17:42Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.8899999555$2.00
01-22 17:41Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
01-22 17:41Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?BUY0.9909999173$11.00
01-22 17:32Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?BUY0.143999886$1.00
01-22 17:32Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1500.00 and 1549.99 at the end of December 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
01-22 17:30U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
01-22 17:29Will monthly inflation be between 1.7% and 1.9% in January?BUY0.0686539844$1.00
01-22 17:18Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?BUY0.4$3.00
01-22 17:17Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
01-22 17:10Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00