PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x57844e59259f8a06f66dc44eec87139ecbc734b8

Realised P&L
$174.93
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
478
Open portfolio
$527.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded478
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.5001.000$30.00+$15.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.0330.925$27.75+$26.75
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1430.815$24.45+$20.16
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $145-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10? · Yes0.0911.000$23.00+$20.91
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.0670.685$20.55+$18.55
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.0670.320$19.20+$15.20
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? · Yes0.0530.555$16.65+$15.07
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0530.545$16.35+$14.77
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? · Yes0.1670.535$16.05+$11.05
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0340.670$13.91+$13.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17? · Yes0.0911.000$13.36+$12.15
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0630.425$12.75+$10.88
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2000.405$12.15+$6.15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5000.887$11.54+$5.04
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? · Yes0.1430.476$11.42+$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 06:34Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;SELL0.11$1.67
07-18 06:34Will Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?SELL0.06$1.80
07-17 16:07Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.057$1.34
07-16 14:44Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$1.45
07-16 14:35Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$1.00
07-16 12:37Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.92
07-16 12:27Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$1.45
07-16 12:23Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.064$0.02
07-16 11:39Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.50
07-15 19:33Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?SELL0.24$1.20
07-15 06:55Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$1.90
07-15 04:45Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.096$2.01
07-14 19:18Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?SELL0.21$1.05
07-14 17:57Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?SELL0.19$0.95
07-13 04:28Will South African inflation be between 2.6% and 2.9% in 2026?SELL0.10174$3.05