vancc
0x574351205e59efac0c0bff17704933a667f1b30e
- Realised P&L
- $1.82
- Volume
- $430.06
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $45.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.15at 0.660Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?
- +$0.43at 0.701US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$0.26at 0.797Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 22:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 19:51 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 19:51 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.1069999089 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 10:05 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.33 |
| 09-02 09:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 23:58 | Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 23:48 | Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 23:38 | Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 23:28 | Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta? | BUY | 0.1983471074 | $6.00 |
| 08-09 23:24 | USMCA extended in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 23:18 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 23:07 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 22:58 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 22:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 23:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.7009998381 | $1.00 |