PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hopedieslast

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a

Realised P&L
$242.4k
Volume
$10.23M
Markets traded
226
Open portfolio
$204.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded226
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.4501.000$54.2k+$29.8k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.8300.976$37.1k+$5.5k
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8330.937$33.0k+$3.7k
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6060.565$26.4k$1.9k
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9540.974$8.2k+$164.26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.655$7.5k+$57.53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3460.065$6.5k$27.9k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0800.135$5.4k+$2.2k
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · No0.6420.925$4.6k+$1.4k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8900.925$4.5k+$168.64
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.5930.975$4.4k+$1.7k
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4720.750$3.6k+$1.3k
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2680.155$3.1k$2.3k
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1480.075$1.9k$1.8k
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2190.125$1.1k$851.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:37Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.39$691.47
08-01 00:29Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.4$400.00
07-30 17:04Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?SELL0.015$0.15
07-29 21:01US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.47$72.62
07-25 18:25Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.0313051882$3.08
07-24 19:31Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.06$197.97
07-24 19:29Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$26.62
07-23 11:44Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.022$0.51
07-23 11:44Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.022$0.88
07-23 02:47Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.08$32.00
07-22 20:31US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.41$4.10
07-22 20:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.59$59.00
07-22 20:28Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.92$440.98
07-22 18:09US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.57$513.00
07-22 18:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.57$569.99