hopedieslast
0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a
- Realised P&L
- $242.4k
- Volume
- $10.23M
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $204.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.8kat 0.903Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$47.1kat 0.808Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$46.0kat 0.868Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$43.3kat 0.573Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
- +$41.5kat 0.638 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:37 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $691.47 |
| 08-01 00:29 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 07-30 17:04 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 07-29 21:01 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.47 | $72.62 |
| 07-25 18:25 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.0313051882 | $3.08 |
| 07-24 19:31 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $197.97 |
| 07-24 19:29 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $26.62 |
| 07-23 11:44 | Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.51 |
| 07-23 11:44 | Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.88 |
| 07-23 02:47 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $32.00 |
| 07-22 20:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 07-22 20:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 07-22 20:28 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $440.98 |
| 07-22 18:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $513.00 |
| 07-22 18:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $569.99 |