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Traders

hopedieslast

0x5739ddf8672627ce076eff5f444610a250075f1a

Realised P&L
$256.8k
Volume
$10.65M
Markets traded
250
Open portfolio
$270.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded250
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4670.685$59.0k+$18.8k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.945$42.5k+$1.1k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.855$36.3k+$1.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.9180.945$31.3k+$896.21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9140.935$23.2k+$516.89
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.895$13.0k+$2.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9540.995$8.4k+$341.15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.3460.065$6.5k$27.9k
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.8880.905$6.3k+$115.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8700.875$5.3k+$30.01
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.994$5.0k+$268.95
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · No0.9000.930$4.8k+$155.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$4.2k+$25.00
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4720.855$4.2k+$1.9k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9820.991$4.0k+$34.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:12Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$36.00
09-16 12:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$40.32
09-16 03:47Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$4.7k
09-15 16:59Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.014$12.60
09-15 02:05Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.07$63.00
09-15 01:56Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$9.00
09-15 01:51Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1037884167$719.72
09-15 01:50Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8$80.00
09-15 01:49Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$20.00
09-15 01:47Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0193124027$19.84
09-09 21:56Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$65.75
09-07 17:20Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1477940192$830.31
09-07 03:29Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1968058$295.21
09-06 15:20Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?SELL0.09$480.64
09-04 20:27Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2378352$237.84