0x572c2abd65586667f308189b98b4c06f815d1a37
0x572c2abd65586667f308189b98b4c06f815d1a37
- Realised P&L
- $4.07
- Volume
- $461.69
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $4.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.479 | $1.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.295 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.615 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.185 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.99at 0.341Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:48 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 01:17 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:09 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:46 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:12 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:33 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:20 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |