0x572c2abd65586667f308189b98b4c06f815d1a37
- Realised P&L
- $7.77
- Volume
- $104.50
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $22.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.230Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$3.41at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.570Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?
- +$1.07at 0.650Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.90at 0.690Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 22:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 14:36 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 06:34 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:33 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 06:31 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:28 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:16 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 18:14 | Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 10:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |