PolyBot

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Traders

0x5716b9a3625058b15580465db66a8a7486778f90

0x5716b9a3625058b15580465db66a8a7486778f90

Realised P&L
$-6.67
Volume
$71.53
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? · Yes0.6700.620$0.93−$0.07
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.065$0.25−$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:17Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?BUY0.6699996918$1.00
10-20 05:24Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?SELL0.69$0.89
10-18 23:16Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-18 11:18US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.79$1.47
09-25 10:08Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-25 02:06Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-24 15:56Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-01 10:29Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.2099998915$1.49
08-24 00:09Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.459999895$1.49
08-21 17:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.6099999181$1.49
08-18 16:20Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999031$1.49
08-18 07:52S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18?BUY0.2199998937$1.49
08-17 23:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.76$1.49
08-17 02:04Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17?BUY0.3499999178$1.49
08-13 09:32Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?BUY0.7699998966$1.49