0x5716b9a3625058b15580465db66a8a7486778f90
0x5716b9a3625058b15580465db66a8a7486778f90
- Realised P&L
- $-6.67
- Volume
- $71.53
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.620 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.065 | $0.25 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.359Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
- +$1.40at 0.520Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?
- +$0.52at 0.740US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$0.46at 0.767Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:17 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 05:24 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.89 |
| 10-18 23:16 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:18 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.47 |
| 09-25 10:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:06 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:56 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 10:29 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998915 | $1.49 |
| 08-24 00:09 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.459999895 | $1.49 |
| 08-21 17:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.6099999181 | $1.49 |
| 08-18 16:20 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999031 | $1.49 |
| 08-18 07:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 18? | BUY | 0.2199998937 | $1.49 |
| 08-17 23:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.49 |
| 08-17 02:04 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17? | BUY | 0.3499999178 | $1.49 |
| 08-13 09:32 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.7699998966 | $1.49 |