IntelGeoPol
0x56dfabee717fc299857dd29c99a1bff0e214e40d
- Realised P&L
- $9.29
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $23.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.93at 0.726Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$41.35at 0.262Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$38.29at 0.343Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
- +$27.62at 0.859Will no leader be out in 2025?
- +$18.64at 0.506Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:14 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-09 15:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 11:10 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $24.00 |
| 01-28 14:49 | Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 01-28 14:49 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $6.88 |
| 01-23 20:44 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 01-13 14:59 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $55.02 |
| 01-13 14:58 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $148.90 |
| 01-13 11:04 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $48.10 |
| 01-13 11:03 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 01-13 11:02 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $72.00 |
| 01-11 14:31 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.031076475 | $9.12 |
| 01-10 21:23 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999922 | $15.00 |
| 01-10 11:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $32.56 |
| 01-10 11:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $27.00 |