PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfdded5

0x56df0612926a0713d26469e66077caf2a400afcd

Realised P&L
$-108.89
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$201.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9540.962$141.10+$1.10
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9600.951$49.51$0.49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8400.885$8.43+$0.43
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.001$2.40$2.4k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 10:13Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.961999999$125.00
08-20 10:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.73$100.00
08-20 10:10Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.994$4.8k
08-16 09:28Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9599999862$50.00
07-03 09:30Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8399999244$8.00
05-17 07:52Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.78$197.46
05-17 07:52Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7899999982$200.00
05-17 07:51Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.6$3.00
03-23 06:12Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.98$2.3k
03-23 06:11Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9809999997$2.3k
03-23 06:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8919999943$15.00
03-23 06:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.4899998285$0.97
10-10 18:16Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
06-30 07:05Will Elon tweet 105–119 times June 27–July 4?BUY0.9299998159$5.00
06-30 07:05Will Shedeur Sanders start a game for the Browns?BUY0.8499999757$3.50