0x569f412e77acbdc8156d22ab01eedbb7ef096c6f
0x569f412e77acbdc8156d22ab01eedbb7ef096c6f
- Realised P&L
- $1.69
- Volume
- $180.71
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $3.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.480 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.405 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.210 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.265 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.62at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.90at 0.268Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.90at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.62at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.37at 0.308Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:50 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 05:03 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:25 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.161999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:50 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 02:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:59 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:22 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:22 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:20 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |