PolyBot

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Traders

Zero10

0x568832b31a1069f58502d34708c21f89141d9f32

Realised P&L
$0.18
Volume
$61.4k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$480.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.964$249.95+$13.88
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$79.17−$20.83
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.036$33.95−$6.05
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1560.037$26.47−$85.46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8200.909$22.18+$2.18
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.3710.033$21.91−$228.09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2900.222$15.28−$4.72
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5500.055$11.99−$108.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.090$9.53−$10.47
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1110.050$7.25−$9.03
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.1000.013$2.60−$17.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.7180.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET · Down0.7580.000$0.00−$27.00
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.4860.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 08:44Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.043$40.00
09-25 08:43Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
09-24 08:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.182$16.54
06-02 22:22Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5599999776$24.00
06-02 22:14Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5599999993$100.00
06-02 22:13Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5599999993$100.00
05-21 06:42Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5699999981$77.00
05-16 14:22Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6299999943$100.00
05-14 07:39Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.61$61.00
05-14 07:36Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.61$61.00
03-15 10:01US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.3399999968$40.00
03-15 10:00Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$100.00
03-03 12:50China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1518651893$100.00
03-03 12:50US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.35$26.67
03-01 10:46US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.2699999963$50.00