eitah
0x56837748d0c752895eb1f6fd3c713e885e47b8bf
- Realised P&L
- $-635.28
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.661 | 0.575 | $3.8k | −$566.75 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.445 | $2.8k | −$1.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.76at 0.890Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
- +$246.40at 0.900Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$226.10at 0.750Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
- +$117.26at 0.630Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$101.99at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 01:09 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.64 | $87.52 |
| 09-13 00:25 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-13 00:16 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.62 | $68.20 |
| 09-13 00:16 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 09-13 00:15 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.62 | $131.01 |
| 09-13 00:15 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 09-13 00:14 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.609989743 | $440.08 |
| 09-13 00:10 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.58 | $0.16 |
| 09-13 00:10 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-11 22:11 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.58 | $59.62 |
| 09-11 21:49 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.56 | $216.16 |
| 09-11 21:34 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.53 | $150.80 |
| 08-15 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $10.90 |
| 08-15 17:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 21:41 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.68 | $463.69 |