0x56835C3Fb9814B0b975837c1Ff580530109fF3bD-1767143410480
0x56835c3fb9814b0b975837c1ff580530109ff3bd
- Realised P&L
- $227.24
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $4.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.69at 0.363Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.83at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
- +$39.70at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$34.63at 0.406Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?
- +$32.27at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 23:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $359.44 |
| 07-19 23:12 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.801 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 20:58 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5679999976 | $97.87 |
| 07-11 23:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 23:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999754 | $2.50 |
| 07-11 22:56 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3849999819 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:42 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.267499972 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:42 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2074999718 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 01:54 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 01:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 15:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |