PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x56835C3Fb9814B0b975837c1Ff580530109fF3bD-1767143410480

0x56835c3fb9814b0b975837c1ff580530109ff3bd

Realised P&L
$227.24
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$4.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0570.131$2.29+$1.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1770.080$0.90$1.10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0950.028$0.58$1.42
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? · Yes0.1470.022$0.31$1.69
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0260.007$0.29$0.71
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 6? · No0.0440.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$5.00
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.70
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2090.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 23:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$359.44
07-19 23:12Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.801$1.01
07-14 20:58Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5679999976$97.87
07-11 23:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETBUY0.01$2.00
07-11 23:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.0699999754$2.50
07-11 22:56Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3849999819$5.00
07-11 22:42Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.267499972$5.00
07-11 22:42Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2074999718$5.00
06-05 01:54Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$2.00
06-05 01:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$30.00
05-29 15:27Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.3299997822$1.00
05-29 15:22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-29 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-29 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-29 15:19Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.01$1.00