0x567e0F9e052061f6dF0b373f0Af2D5E434428a23-1781709932463
0x567e0f9e052061f6df0b373f0af2d5e434428a23
- Realised P&L
- $-4.19
- Volume
- $503.13
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.015 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.65at 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$5.32at 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $33.65 |
| 06-22 12:23 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.2268244252 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 12:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 16:27 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:20 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 16:16 | Will Bad Bunny be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:13 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 16:00 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:59 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999888 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 15:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 15:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |