Goorsakbardari
0x567059a47077c1925d21012189e5137239232b9c
- Realised P&L
- $-714.49
- Volume
- $85.8k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $364.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.35at 0.386Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$171.39at 0.290Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$167.01at 0.719Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
- +$148.78at 0.618Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
- +$108.09at 0.288Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:05 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2788461536 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 18:05 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $90.00 |
| 09-08 19:16 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.0219269103 | $3.00 |
| 09-08 08:50 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-07 11:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $15.00 |
| 09-03 21:04 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.141309205 | $45.70 |
| 09-03 20:54 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.871 | $102.31 |
| 09-03 16:01 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0425675145 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 14:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 22:22 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3793399447 | $30.00 |
| 08-24 17:45 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-24 17:39 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 12:17 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1780442721 | $15.00 |
| 08-21 12:16 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $34.86 |
| 08-20 12:10 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2669999768 | $7.00 |