yodsoipo
0x564b8866719fa2bb6d5103c81724d6d5d8250ac6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.10
- Volume
- $20.00
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $30.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.485 | $9.70 | +$1.90 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.460 | $9.20 | −$1.20 |
| Will the Democrats win New Jersey in the 2028 Presidential Election? · No | 0.160 | 0.320 | $6.40 | +$3.20 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.140 | $2.80 | −$1.80 |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.185 | $2.69 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.530Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?
- +$0.21at 0.580Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.480Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$-0.05at 0.640Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$-0.10at 0.450Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:42 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.48 | $0.92 |
| 10-31 12:42 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-31 12:32 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-29 12:17 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-29 11:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 10-29 11:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |