0x5622f57aF3b003beEA28F98464bb68342dB689ad-1775218109052
0x5622f57af3b003beea28f98464bb68342db689ad
- Realised P&L
- $-342.37
- Volume
- $68.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $142.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.53at 0.170Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$14.48at 0.291Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$13.38at 0.130Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
- +$11.38at 0.033Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
- +$9.16at 0.180US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 11:32 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.96 |
| 06-22 11:32 | Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 06-20 09:37 | French election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0065442177 | $0.27 |
| 06-20 09:36 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0124160963 | $0.53 |
| 06-20 09:36 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.07 |
| 06-20 09:36 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.77 |
| 06-12 08:51 | Kash Patel out by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.74 |
| 06-12 08:51 | Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.0114241211 | $0.51 |
| 06-01 18:00 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.35 |
| 06-01 18:00 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.82 |
| 05-30 21:36 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 21:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-30 21:33 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 05-30 21:28 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0069335772 | $5.46 |
| 05-26 19:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.239 | $1.05 |