PolyBot

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Traders

rideg1337

0x560980647d6884d23d3a62637a075869e7910cb5

Realised P&L
$777.37
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$17.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar32.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2? · No0.3130.250$6.06−$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 2? · Yes0.1300.165$4.79+$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 2? · Yes0.0050.009$1.90+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 2? · Yes0.0900.080$1.76−$0.22
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2? · No0.5500.385$1.37−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.0600.037$1.04−$0.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 2? · Yes0.0080.005$0.90−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on November 1? · Yes0.0090.001$0.06−$1.02
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on November 2? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 2? · Yes0.0140.001$0.04−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1? · No0.4300.006$0.02−$1.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? · No0.3900.001$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.89
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:48Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on November 1?SELL0.996$29.88
11-01 14:08Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?SELL0.11$0.30
11-01 14:07Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?SELL0.011$0.06
11-01 10:58Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?BUY0.3499999912$1.98
11-01 10:50Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.31$4.96
11-01 10:47Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?BUY0.0599999994$1.96
11-01 10:45Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
11-01 09:43Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.32$1.32
11-01 09:41Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?BUY0.5499999018$1.96
11-01 09:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
11-01 09:41Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.4299999218$1.10
11-01 09:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1?BUY0.38$1.90
11-01 09:39Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.32$1.32
10-31 21:31Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 2?BUY0.014$1.19
10-31 21:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 2?BUY0.008$1.30