aabce
0x5608360159e8598483ef8a051edf2f3e3f00c0db
- Realised P&L
- $367.65
- Volume
- $65.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,113
- Open portfolio
- $522.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,113
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.99at 0.138Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$80.36at 0.135Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on April 18?
- +$62.49at 0.339Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?
- +$56.31at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?
- +$54.81at 0.331Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:38 | Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.97 |
| 10-02 18:38 | Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.88 | $22.76 |
| 10-02 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 10-02 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-02 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 10-02 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-02 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-02 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-02 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-02 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-02 13:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-02 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-02 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-02 12:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-02 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |