Teleben
0x56012c6f03a6834478407197ce6b78c5f106f8c4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.60
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $62.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.515 | $22.53 | +$12.91 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.890 | 0.925 | $10.40 | +$0.39 |
| Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $9.91 | +$0.20 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.935 | $9.85 | −$0.16 |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.905 | $9.59 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.50at 0.220Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
- +$9.95at 0.502Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05?
- +$3.74at 0.689Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$3.55at 0.290Counter-Strike: DEPO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Qualifier Playoffs
- +$2.11at 0.827Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 09:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $41.13 |
| 10-06 09:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.63 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.71 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.96 |
| 10-06 02:14 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.63 |
| 10-05 20:49 | Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-05 19:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.89 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 19:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.24 |
| 10-05 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.35 |
| 09-30 12:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-30 12:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.44 |
| 09-30 12:06 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.52 |
| 09-30 12:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.74 |
| 09-30 12:06 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.94 |