PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Teleben

0x56012c6f03a6834478407197ce6b78c5f106f8c4

Realised P&L
$-2.60
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$62.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes0.2200.515$22.53+$12.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? · No0.8900.925$10.40+$0.39
Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.2400.245$9.91+$0.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9500.935$9.85−$0.16
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9400.905$9.59−$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 09:22Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.94$41.13
10-06 09:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.95$10.00
10-06 07:47Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.22$9.63
10-06 06:38Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.24$9.71
10-06 06:38Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.94$9.96
10-06 02:14Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.22$9.63
10-05 20:49Will Guatemala win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.49$9.80
10-05 19:09Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?BUY0.89$10.00
10-05 19:09Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?SELL0.11$1.24
10-05 18:31Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11?BUY0.12$1.35
09-30 12:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?SELL0.26$1.30
09-30 12:06US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$8.44
09-30 12:06Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$9.52
09-30 12:06Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?SELL0.28$5.74
09-30 12:06Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.29$5.94