Yirmeyahu
0x55f35253852930ef05a1a3f8dcd0007f6b0acada
- Realised P&L
- $38.5k
- Volume
- $997.5k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $31.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.870Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$3.7kat 0.368U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.797Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.898Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.415Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:04 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 23:54 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $836.36 |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.6292559913 | $765.92 |
| 07-31 19:34 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.8k |
| 07-31 19:06 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.2k |
| 07-31 18:10 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.289 | $182.29 |
| 07-31 18:09 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.288098074 | $240.53 |
| 07-31 17:47 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3911580346 | $179.60 |
| 07-31 17:44 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3776061172 | $60.62 |
| 07-31 17:43 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.437788731 | $440.55 |
| 07-31 17:42 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4727996988 | $84.76 |
| 07-31 17:42 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4714138621 | $131.95 |
| 07-31 17:41 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3435216728 | $85.51 |
| 07-31 17:40 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.3485871085 | $573.25 |
| 07-29 23:12 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.07 |