Yirmeyahu
0x55f35253852930ef05a1a3f8dcd0007f6b0acada
- Realised P&L
- $38.9k
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $85.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.870Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$3.7kat 0.368U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$3.0kat 0.797Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$2.8kat 0.898Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.415Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 23:35 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.059 | $3.65 |
| 09-16 23:35 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0589234095 | $19.08 |
| 09-16 23:34 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.049 | $53.27 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 23:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 23:25 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 23:24 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.5k |
| 09-16 23:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.0k |
| 09-16 23:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.89 | $6.1k |
| 09-16 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.709999992 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.589999991 | $25.00 |