PatriciaPaul6062
0x557aeb2fa701a7013cc6586e2d47367179a29f70
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $241.0k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $999.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.670 | 0.895 | $483.30 | +$121.50 |
| Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $185.00 | +$62.90 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No | 0.591 | 0.785 | $135.89 | +$33.65 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.259 | 0.841 | $79.89 | +$55.29 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.986 | $71.98 | +$52.27 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.072 | $23.05 | −$40.54 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.610 | $14.03 | +$1.61 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.5 | 0.160 | 0.007 | $6.70 | −$146.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.68at 0.500Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?
- +$392.49at 0.110Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$348.17at 0.228UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggies
- +$343.07at 0.310Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
- +$324.44at 0.370Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 10:05 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | SELL | 0.72 | $333.36 |
| 04-27 08:04 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $551.88 |
| 04-23 15:03 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.71 | $328.73 |
| 04-23 12:11 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $559.44 |
| 04-12 21:50 | Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $374.00 |
| 04-12 20:34 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.47 | $247.22 |
| 04-12 19:07 | Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $382.80 |
| 04-12 18:33 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.49 | $257.74 |
| 04-12 17:53 | Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.66 | $122.10 |
| 04-12 16:18 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.83 | $720.44 |
| 04-12 16:00 | Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $329.12 |
| 04-12 15:59 | Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $518.32 |
| 04-12 13:23 | Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $847.44 |
| 04-12 13:07 | Will Trump say "All over the place" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.45 | $400.05 |
| 04-12 12:09 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $737.80 |