PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x557aeb2fa701a7013cc6586e2d47367179a29f70

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
242
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded242
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6700.979$528.66+$166.86
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? · No0.6601.000$185.00+$62.90
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.5910.901$155.87+$53.63
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2590.887$84.27+$59.66
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2701.000$73.00+$53.29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5400.835$19.20+$6.79
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2000.044$14.15−$49.45
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.50.1600.000$0.00−$153.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 10:05SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?SELL0.72$333.36
04-27 08:04U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?SELL0.73$551.88
04-23 15:03SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?BUY0.71$328.73
04-23 12:11U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.74$559.44
04-12 21:50Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?SELL0.85$374.00
04-12 20:34US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.47$247.22
04-12 19:07Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.87$382.80
04-12 18:33US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.49$257.74
04-12 17:53Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.66$122.10
04-12 16:18Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?SELL0.83$720.44
04-12 16:00Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.88$329.12
04-12 15:59Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.88$518.32
04-12 13:23Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.88$847.44
04-12 13:07Will Trump say "All over the place" this week? (April 19)BUY0.45$400.05
04-12 12:09Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?BUY0.85$737.80