PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xMojito

0x556200e216d04ad80e3ce66ab7d19877ea4036fb

Realised P&L
$-196.98
Volume
$23.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$166.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1420.057$120.39−$179.60
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.041$21.32−$78.68
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5000.045$9.00−$91.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.019$8.71−$41.29
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0600.009$7.08−$42.92
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$20.00
Lakers vs. Heat · Heat0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3640.000$0.00−$89.00
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$100.00
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 12:13Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.1420329583$300.00
03-28 09:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3699999954$39.00
03-25 07:55Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.001$10.00
03-23 12:38Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?BUY0.5505979847$50.00
03-19 23:44Lakers vs. HeatBUY0.5899999947$10.00
03-19 06:00Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
03-16 19:07China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
03-16 19:02Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1119999981$50.00
03-16 19:01Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.014$20.00
03-15 08:29Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3599999977$50.00
03-14 14:15Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?SELL0.71$93.41
03-14 12:45Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
03-12 06:18Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.85$226.66
03-12 06:18Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.328270864$93.54
03-04 22:14Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY0.0894232824$100.00