PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x553a95b3c1B474D6C4b2B48772A8152c25F3177f-1721510425520

0x553a95b3c1b474d6c4b2b48772a8152c25f3177f

Realised P&L
$8.5k
Volume
$463.1k
Markets traded
314
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded314
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.875$2.6k+$166.01
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.5190.940$2.2k+$994.81
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5440.445$1.2k−$258.02
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.6900.967$1.1k+$311.43
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.8540.948$810.64+$80.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? · No0.9780.979$782.80+$0.41
Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.7680.850$549.05+$53.08
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · No0.8300.955$391.37+$51.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? · No0.9690.968$290.25−$0.40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7700.992$248.00+$55.50
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.4720.855$170.13+$76.23
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.6280.755$151.00+$25.40
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? · No0.8350.953$120.33+$14.94
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6270.939$91.08+$30.25
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.5100.275$55.00−$47.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?BUY0.9774736842$18.57
11-01 10:32Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November?BUY0.9685$96.85
10-28 00:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9789999999$200.00
10-28 00:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.979$100.00
10-27 21:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.9749837503$300.00
10-22 22:42US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.984$10.15
10-22 22:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.82$82.00
10-22 22:37US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.92$184.00
10-22 22:35US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.77$308.00
10-09 12:03Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?SELL0.84$9.43
10-09 12:03Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.966744186$20.78
10-09 12:01Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.89$26.70
10-09 11:45Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.89$17.80
10-09 10:42Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.879999998$36.00
10-09 09:17Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.856515687$50.00