0x54e0bc727c093d7258f091e03df60888947d3b65
0x54e0bc727c093d7258f091e03df60888947d3b65
- Realised P&L
- $7.88
- Volume
- $354.60
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $7.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.997 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.997 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.967 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.715 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.145 | $1.07 | −$1.22 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.295 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.256 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.12at 0.220US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$7.60at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.82at 0.288S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$4.80at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$4.01at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:59 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:18 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:17 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:07 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:12 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 15:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:54 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:40 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999659 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 11:39 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 11:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 03:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |