xccxx
0x54ab9ef247f7964c8a3322c6dbbb4954dbc11b59
- Realised P&L
- $533.18
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $27.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $19.94 | −$0.04 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.765 | $7.65 | +$2.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$575.00at 0.500Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca
- +$1.00at 0.950Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.65at 0.974Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.60at 0.940Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.960Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:06 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-14 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-22 14:03 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.96 |
| 09-22 14:02 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-05 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-05 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-23 15:36 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-23 15:36 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-23 15:36 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-11 14:50 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-11 14:50 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 08-11 14:49 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-11 14:49 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-11 14:49 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-24 15:56 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |