0x54978ec8bd5dcf63eb569a20715b51bb0bf24d67
0x54978ec8bd5dcf63eb569a20715b51bb0bf24d67
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $57.47
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $8.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.025 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.222 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.905 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.885 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.714 | 0.694 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.655 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen · Janice Tjen | 0.370 | 0.335 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.715 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.350 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 06:42 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.71399991 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:41 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:41 | Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:41 | Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:41 | Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:40 | Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? | BUY | 0.9099992538 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:29 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 06:17 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2219999756 | $1.00 |