PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x548BaC2797243F1381aC9988f7D13Ba2188f04E8-1769821121842

0x548bac2797243f1381ac9988f7d13ba2188f04e8

Realised P&L
$-935.12
Volume
$24.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$66.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$24.98$52.22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.046$20.76$29.24
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1100.022$20.39$79.61
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$99.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$25.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$50.00
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$200.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$25.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$100.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$25.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$200.00
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? · No0.0490.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 15:07Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1699999982$77.20
03-16 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.5299999899$9.69
03-16 09:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1119999981$50.00
03-16 09:11Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0615901744$100.00
03-16 09:11Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0139999999$100.00
03-16 09:09Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
03-16 09:09Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0298683755$50.00
03-16 09:07Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.110347059$100.00
02-01 18:38Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?BUY0.103585654$25.00
02-01 18:38Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?BUY0.049973189$25.00
02-01 18:38Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?BUY0.0339999987$25.00
02-01 18:37Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?BUY0.0249143147$25.00
02-01 18:35Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY0.0466446498$100.00
02-01 18:28U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?BUY0.0485345051$100.00
01-31 01:11US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.5599999999$300.00