0x545f2426d797493D973dA10e1434de4535c466db-1773089535470
0x545f2426d797493d973da10e1434de4535c466db
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $134.2k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: América FC 1 - 0 EC Juventude? · No | 0.869 | 1.000 | $1.8k | +$232.93 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.450 | $1.3k | −$6.83 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.88 |
| Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 0 - 2 Querétaro FC? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.32 |
| Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy · Taylor Fritz | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.74 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$881.40 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.00 |
| ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. FBC Melgar: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Inter Miami CF? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$248.40 |
| Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Stockport County FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.53at 0.721Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?
- +$258.06at 0.680Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
- +$232.82at 0.780Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?
- +$216.11at 0.258Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19?
- +$215.53at 0.520Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 01:50 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.46 | $314.64 |
| 09-29 01:43 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.0k |
| 09-28 19:59 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.2k |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 09-28 17:12 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.15899 | $317.98 |
| 09-27 23:37 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-27 23:10 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.105 | $28.55 |
| 09-27 23:09 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.112 | $30.45 |
| 09-27 21:15 | Exact Score: Racing Club Avellaneda 3 - 0 Boca Juniors? | BUY | 0.9 | $201.60 |
| 09-27 13:57 | Real Valladolid CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 22:17 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | SELL | 0.71 | $526.44 |
| 07-09 22:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $610.00 |
| 07-09 22:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $114.98 |
| 07-09 22:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $683.83 |
| 07-09 22:15 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.91 | $911.60 |