PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x545b65c2EFe6621044D66368389A51c98B824113-1730570392409

0x545b65c2efe6621044d66368389a51c98b824113

Realised P&L
$-111.30
Volume
$47.1k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$130.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.765$76.50+$9.50
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.928$29.16+$0.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6? · Yes0.0280.013$13.00−$15.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1280.049$12.13−$19.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 24? · No0.1010.000$0.00−$1.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 27? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$4.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 28? · No0.0380.000$0.00−$1.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 16? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00−$49.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 24? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$4.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 19? · No0.0270.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 24? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.07
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17? · No0.0680.000$0.00−$6.82
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 26? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$1.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 12:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6?BUY0.028$28.00
09-22 10:16NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.67$67.00
09-22 10:09Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.897$17.41
09-22 10:07Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.896$10.76
09-15 18:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
09-15 11:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.18$27.00
09-11 11:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?BUY0.21$10.50
09-11 11:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?BUY0.2$2.00
09-11 11:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.192$9.60
08-12 12:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?BUY0.08$9.92
08-12 12:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?BUY0.041$10.33
06-07 22:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?BUY0.116$11.60
06-07 22:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?BUY0.0966634666$20.00
06-07 22:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9?BUY0.0667320003$15.00
06-07 22:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?BUY0.021$10.50