0x545b65c2EFe6621044D66368389A51c98B824113-1730570392409
0x545b65c2efe6621044d66368389a51c98b824113
- Realised P&L
- $-111.30
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $130.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$169.55at 0.127Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
- +$78.84at 0.260Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$76.77at 0.109Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?
- +$70.68at 0.680US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.028 | $28.00 |
| 09-22 10:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $67.00 |
| 09-22 10:09 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.897 | $17.41 |
| 09-22 10:07 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.896 | $10.76 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 11:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $27.00 |
| 09-11 11:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-11 11:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 11:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.192 | $9.60 |
| 08-12 12:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.92 |
| 08-12 12:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.041 | $10.33 |
| 06-07 22:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.116 | $11.60 |
| 06-07 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.0966634666 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.0667320003 | $15.00 |
| 06-07 22:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.50 |