Kryzot
0x54256a4bcdf2f19ff758833e1221aee4019eee29
- Realised P&L
- $-74.35
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $92.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.604 | $58.48 | +$13.48 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.610 | 0.625 | $15.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.645 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.051 | $3.38 | −$1.62 |
| Giants vs. Texans · Giants | 0.330 | 0.220 | $2.67 | −$1.33 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.470 | 0.175 | $1.86 | −$3.14 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.115 | $0.88 | −$4.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.22at 0.374Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?
- +$43.64at 0.371Rams vs. Chargers
- +$42.06at 0.667Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?
- +$30.28at 0.405Bears vs. Titans
- +$28.80at 0.610Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 06:47 | Giants vs. Texans | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 23:26 | Giants vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 23:25 | Panthers vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 23:24 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 23:24 | Jets vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 23:24 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 21:51 | Lions vs. Cardinals | SELL | 0.94 | $6.91 |
| 10-06 06:49 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 06:49 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.50 |
| 10-06 06:48 | Raiders vs. Patriots | SELL | 0.36 | $2.43 |
| 10-05 13:13 | Texans vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:13 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:13 | Lions vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:12 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $2.50 |
| 10-05 13:12 | Giants vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |