PolyBot

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Traders

blackswan111

0x54236deb8dbd88f56e42a355227a4a319dcb0170

Realised P&L
$-106.80
Volume
$117.2k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$110.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9910.994$20.03+$0.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.9981.000$19.59+$0.04
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9530.981$18.00+$0.50
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? · Yes0.9760.975$17.68$0.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9640.996$13.69+$0.43
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.9970.989$10.98$0.09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$10.97+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:42Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.9909999998$19.98
09-10 13:41Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9969999937$11.07
08-24 13:34Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.999$11.00
08-24 13:31Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.9969999769$20.00
08-24 13:29Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$19.55
07-24 20:31Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.541407474$48.68
07-15 20:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9639999753$13.26
07-15 20:14Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.9969999743$19.00
07-15 20:13Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?BUY0.9759999921$17.70
07-15 20:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$16.55
06-22 13:10Will Solana dip to $10 in June?BUY0.999$20.50
06-22 13:09Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9989999574$11.50
06-22 13:07Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.9969999611$18.20
05-11 15:02Will Solana dip to $10 in May?BUY0.999$20.03
05-11 15:01Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.9809999308$13.15