PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-Dominus-

0x5415c298dde8c84f4ba726d36b411df6e9a72a6e

Realised P&L
$23.9k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
1,303
Open portfolio
$41.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,303
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.847$33.9k+$13.9k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.153$6.1k$13.9k
Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? · Yes0.5460.715$458.31+$108.23
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? · No0.7920.940$372.99+$58.67
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? · No0.7860.830$276.24+$14.47
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · No0.8880.920$178.59+$6.17
Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · Yes0.8890.960$147.84+$10.99
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? · No0.0740.075$82.72+$0.92
Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? · No0.5170.905$77.94+$33.38
Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game? · Yes0.3240.390$63.18+$10.68
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.6180.655$60.91+$3.40
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · No0.6300.970$39.75+$13.92
Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · No0.3600.375$30.00+$1.20
Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · No0.4690.770$23.10+$9.03
Will the announcers say "Hail Mary" during the Colts vs Chiefs game? · No0.1900.440$18.48+$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:17Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.23$11.73
09-19 15:13Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.36$24.12
09-19 14:11Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.81$206.54
09-19 10:30Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.5805716216$42.96
09-19 10:20Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.35$35.00
09-19 10:16Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?BUY0.0765334282$53.80
09-19 08:45Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.36$28.80
09-19 08:37Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.3672972973$40.77
09-19 08:33Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.76$107.78
09-19 08:33Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Dolphins vs 49ers game?BUY0.5174175569$44.56
09-19 01:29Will the announcers say "No Good" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.46$9.66
09-19 01:28Will the announcers say "Hail Mary" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.19$7.98
09-19 01:26Will the announcers say "Turf" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.469$14.07
09-19 01:26Will the announcers say "Roughing The Passer" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.66$13.86
09-19 01:25Will the announcers say "Safety" during the Colts vs Chiefs game?BUY0.8886363636$136.85