PolyBot

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Traders

0x5413b26250639013b79b961f0448b3e8cce07d87

0x5413b26250639013b79b961f0448b3e8cce07d87

Realised P&L
$2.08
Volume
$650.49
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$23.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Simon peak at Category 4? · Yes0.9870.975$3.95−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15? · No0.9801.000$3.12+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15? · Yes0.9830.995$3.10+$0.04
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5070.540$2.13+$0.13
Will XRP reach $2.00 in October? · No0.9700.969$2.00−$0.00
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.855$1.99−$0.01
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9190.908$1.98−$0.02
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9540.941$1.97−$0.03
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%? · Yes0.0620.054$1.74−$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15? · Yes0.9700.999$1.05+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 15? · No0.9500.882$0.93−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 06:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.9889999922$1.02
10-15 06:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.9789999971$1.02
10-15 06:53Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?BUY0.98$1.02
10-15 06:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.9799039293$1.02
10-15 06:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.9699999905$1.02
10-15 06:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 15?BUY0.9699999905$1.02
10-15 06:31Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 15?BUY0.99$1.02
10-14 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.4799999302$1.10
10-14 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.74$1.40
10-14 18:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.5799999156$1.10
10-14 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.981$1.12
10-14 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.96$1.10
10-14 17:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.79$1.24
10-14 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6999998727$1.10
10-14 15:18Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 14?SELL0.999$8.73