0x540baaaab553bed26a80e935dbdfa6200056b8ae
0x540baaaab553bed26a80e935dbdfa6200056b8ae
- Realised P&L
- $12.43
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $29.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.07at 0.286Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$8.70at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?
- +$8.30at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 21?
- +$8.10at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?
- +$7.70at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 15:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-29 15:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.445 | $4.45 |
| 09-29 15:45 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.423 | $4.23 |
| 09-26 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-26 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-24 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 07:48 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-22 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 09-18 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-16 18:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 13:58 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $8.34 |
| 09-15 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-11 13:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |