Finnegan.jo2
0x54052c1d5bc861b2d04e1e573ecff47be97c41b9
- Realised P&L
- $-297.18
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $750.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$273.10at 0.353Yoon in jail before July?
- +$192.00at 0.520US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$88.60at 0.508Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$79.07at 0.800Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$72.00at 0.640US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:43 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $117.60 |
| 10-03 13:40 | Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 10-03 13:38 | Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.04 |
| 10-03 13:37 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.937 | $46.85 |
| 10-03 13:36 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.937 | $93.70 |
| 09-20 16:50 | Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $57.67 |
| 09-20 16:48 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.48 |
| 09-19 09:20 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 09-19 09:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 07-17 17:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $129.00 |
| 07-17 17:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |
| 07-04 15:09 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $13.30 |
| 07-04 15:08 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 06-21 04:19 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.769 | $153.80 |
| 06-21 04:16 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |