ALOJZIJ
0x53ef34620d86d25d6106ff1b96cf9cb645ae4fa5
- Realised P&L
- $5.50
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.017 | $0.82 | +$0.07 |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.09at 0.440Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$3.19at 0.570Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$1.70at 0.330Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$0.48at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?
- +$0.27at 0.001Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.7286881752 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.8989999515 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 07-25 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-03 00:04 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-03 00:03 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 07-03 00:00 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 07-02 23:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-02 23:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 07-02 23:40 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 07-02 23:40 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |