PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ALOJZIJ

0x53ef34620d86d25d6106ff1b96cf9cb645ae4fa5

Realised P&L
$5.50
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$0.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0150.017$0.82+$0.07
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 15:33Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-07 13:35Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?BUY0.7286881752$1.00
08-07 12:34Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?BUY0.8989999515$1.00
08-07 06:32Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?BUY0.1$1.00
08-07 04:39Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7?BUY0.889999911$1.00
07-25 06:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?BUY0.83$4.15
07-25 03:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?BUY0.9$4.50
07-03 00:04Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$2.80
07-03 00:03Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.43$2.15
07-03 00:00Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.43$4.30
07-02 23:59Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$2.80
07-02 23:56Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.56$2.80
07-02 23:40Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.58$2.90
07-02 23:40Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.43$2.15