Fourteenkiss
0x53eb571fc79b3449fb26378396eb0f9827cdf496
- Realised P&L
- $-10.72
- Volume
- $443.08
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $77.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.435 | $18.64 | −$0.21 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.075 | $16.83 | −$3.17 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.295 | $12.83 | −$7.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.335 | $10.69 | −$4.31 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.260 | 0.245 | $9.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.305 | $9.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.46at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$1.14at 0.642Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$0.27at 0.931US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:15 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 05:12 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 05:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 04:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | SELL | 0.956 | $10.27 |
| 09-19 23:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999907 | $18.85 |
| 09-19 23:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 23:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 22:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0891097929 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.336633656 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 22:41 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.9309999972 | $10.00 |