user7777777
0x539d04ce381edb57d87d4cbfe9644c3ecfa70213
- Realised P&L
- $-21.5k
- Volume
- $835.1k
- Markets traded
- 523
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded523
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.372Bitcoin Up or Down on February 12?
- +$1.0kat 0.770SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
- +$990.62at 0.599LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$740.12at 0.110Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$622.39at 0.840LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 03:26 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-01 01:31 | Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.655 | $6.55 |
| 06-30 21:45 | France leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.70 |
| 06-30 21:44 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.4299999673 | $6.44 |
| 06-30 21:31 | France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 06-30 18:33 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 06-30 18:33 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 06-30 15:30 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.692 | $6.92 |
| 06-30 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.40 |
| 06-30 12:38 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.160386 | $1.60 |
| 06-30 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 06-30 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 06-30 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 06-30 02:52 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |