0x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
- Realised P&L
- $-3.54M
- Volume
- $213.58M
- Markets traded
- 7,049
- Open portfolio
- $66.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,049
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$558.9kat 0.471Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$464.9kat 0.543Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$330.1kat 0.456Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$282.2kat 0.413Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$261.6kat 0.542Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 10:20 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.4928817429 | $3.5k |
| 08-20 10:17 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | SELL | 0.5 | $345.50 |
| 08-17 08:21 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.4903723404 | $184.38 |
| 08-17 08:20 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.5 | $213.50 |
| 07-17 21:43 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $30.4k |
| 07-15 20:01 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5793111505 | $29.0k |
| 07-14 11:49 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.349 | $12.77 |
| 07-10 19:33 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.844 | $2.7k |
| 07-06 22:25 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.0k |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $65.52 |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $47.32 |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $37.70 |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $40.04 |
| 07-05 22:59 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $39.78 |