PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Degencrew

0x53515560de479cb8bec53a517bcd9fb2f66dc7ed

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
423
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded423
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.895$775.20+$82.47
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7670.955$687.10+$135.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8340.876$455.70+$21.84
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? · No0.8300.971$388.37+$56.40
Waymo IPO before 2027? · No0.8570.979$210.20+$26.03
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0880.001$10.41−$902.61
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens0.2820.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.3k
Canadiens vs. Sabres · Sabres0.3580.000$0.00−$210.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00−$437.11
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$100.00
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$546.43
Canadiens vs. Lightning · Lightning0.3230.000$0.00−$40.00
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00−$10.92
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10? · No0.5580.000$0.00−$54.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 17:17Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?SELL0.020805167$75.72
10-17 17:16Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.972$105.99
10-17 17:16Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?SELL0.95$190.00
10-09 13:53Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?SELL0.9534165861$285.92
10-09 13:52Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.5784051824$500.46
10-05 15:13New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.94$313.36
10-03 23:57Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.97$1.7k
08-23 16:36Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2312693567$786.31
07-10 13:37Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.93$966.79
07-08 18:02Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.55$274.99
06-23 22:12Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?SELL0.036$0.19
06-22 11:35Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026SELL0.2$2.58
06-19 15:07Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.56$279.99
06-19 03:47Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL0.1145891077$311.67
06-19 03:39New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.8999055075$300.00