Degencrew
0x53515560de479cb8bec53a517bcd9fb2f66dc7ed
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.140Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$422.20at 0.191Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
- +$337.77at 0.382Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$310.47at 0.694Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$299.20at 0.507Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 17:17 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.020805167 | $75.72 |
| 10-17 17:16 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $105.99 |
| 10-17 17:16 | Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | SELL | 0.9534165861 | $285.92 |
| 10-09 13:52 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.5784051824 | $500.46 |
| 10-05 15:13 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $313.36 |
| 10-03 23:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.7k |
| 08-23 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2312693567 | $786.31 |
| 07-10 13:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $966.79 |
| 07-08 18:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $274.99 |
| 06-23 22:12 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.19 |
| 06-22 11:35 | Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | SELL | 0.2 | $2.58 |
| 06-19 15:07 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $279.99 |
| 06-19 03:47 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | SELL | 0.1145891077 | $311.67 |
| 06-19 03:39 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.8999055075 | $300.00 |