usertrader11
0x534d77decc4e0a8c3351021c568a45b711ca92c7
- Realised P&L
- $20.31
- Volume
- $269.21
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $8.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.620 | 0.615 | $3.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.209 | $2.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.215 | $1.54 | −$0.46 |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · JD Gaming | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.487Bears vs. Packers
- +$4.45at 0.479Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$3.54at 0.679Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Play-In
- +$2.89at 0.736Wuhan Tennis Open: Xiyu Wang vs Xinyu Wang
- +$2.67at 0.604Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 19:34 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $150-$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 19:34 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.24 |
| 10-13 19:33 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $155-$160 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 19:33 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.2284577828 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 19:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 19:24 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:22 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 11:46 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B | SELL | 0.67 | $1.97 |
| 10-13 11:30 | Jinan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Friend | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 11:28 | Jinan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Friend | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 11:27 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BBL (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 14:20 | Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.7 | $4.16 |
| 10-12 14:20 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot | SELL | 0.999 | $6.08 |
| 10-12 14:17 | Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Play-In | SELL | 0.99 | $11.86 |