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Traders

0x534420728A3CeaC6bea1da681080ac4d64e0a26e-1776911259200

0x534420728a3ceac6bea1da681080ac4d64e0a26e

Realised P&L
$6.79
Volume
$126.16
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$2.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9390.981$2.09+$0.09
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.5000.135$0.27−$0.73
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.00
Zoe Kravitz and Harry Styles engaged by August 31? · No0.9520.000$0.00−$1.00
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$1.00
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4750.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 02:40Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4749997862$1.00
05-20 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.9599998618$5.00
05-20 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.9399999662$5.00
05-20 07:32Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.9399999962$5.00
05-09 18:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9389997014$2.00
05-09 18:48Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.95$1.03
05-09 18:48Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
05-09 18:36Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?SELL0.98$2.01
05-09 18:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?SELL0.999$8.32
05-01 17:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
05-01 17:14Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?BUY0.024386913$1.00
05-01 15:51Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.9719999981$2.00
04-28 06:05Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?BUY0.089999919$0.93
04-27 11:31Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?SELL0.76$1.05
04-27 02:47Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?BUY0.7099994391$0.97
Trader 0x534420728A3CeaC6bea1da681080ac4d64e0a26e-1776911259200 · PolyBot Pro