PlumpMe
0x53301c41308238e23c6c00e1e2595219546343e2
- Realised P&L
- $-25.97
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $24.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.57at 0.438 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.33at 0.300Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$2.13at 0.320Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
- +$1.70at 0.370U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.63at 0.380Will Trump post "Spain" this week on Truth Social?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 07:47 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 07:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-13 07:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:28 | World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:27 | Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.3039998516 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:20 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:14 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:11 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 08:07 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 05:22 | Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 04:57 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 14:57 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 14:39 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |