saber99
0x5313d54cd6bf5649a3016dd6ccc5feceb8919309
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $92.7k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $33.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.43at 0.070LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
- +$124.77at 0.242LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)
- +$48.11at 0.620LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)
- +$31.73at 0.922Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$24.20at 0.310LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:40 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:43 | LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $33.82 |
| 09-16 02:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.985999789 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 20:09 | LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 15:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.92 |
| 09-09 15:24 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.65 | $8.13 |
| 09-05 11:24 | Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.9689999926 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 10:52 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 07:52 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.45 |
| 08-28 06:21 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.9939999994 | $6.50 |
| 08-06 17:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 12:18 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.50 |
| 07-29 11:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 31 and 32 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.50 |
| 07-23 17:13 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999862 | $2.56 |
| 07-17 20:18 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage | BUY | 0.95 | $1.80 |