SharpiesPicks
0x5304ba5bbd87d46af56b2b075d7a2f61cb0d6ebf
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $84.67
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $26.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) · Hugo Guillon | 0.616 | 0.555 | $24.07 | −$2.67 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.058 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.130 | 0.115 | $0.89 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.798Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:21 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:21 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:21 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.59 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:09 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.59 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:08 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.59 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:42 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $6.16 |
| 09-14 04:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:41 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:40 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:40 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:40 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:40 | Dana White's Contender Series: Hugo Guillon vs. Luis Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.62 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.00 |