PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MarioAraez

0x52f4fcb1b82f23dfa3e195b17c01d98c8165ab89

Realised P&L
$467.08
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$661.36

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:21Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999999974$53.00
10-29 17:20Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?BUY0.5799999992$75.00
10-29 17:09Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?BUY0.5099999984$50.00
10-29 16:54Will Pabel Muñoz win the next Quito mayoral election?BUY0.5425694638$50.00
10-29 16:44Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.309226932$40.00
10-29 16:39Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiSELL0.74$249.99
10-29 16:36Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?BUY0.5179282844$50.00
10-29 16:21Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6799999997$180.00
10-29 16:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$50.00
10-29 16:13Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo MusettiBUY0.7399999996$250.00
10-29 16:09Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999999995$150.00
08-05 06:24Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.6799999997$170.10
06-23 12:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5499999997$250.00
05-09 06:41Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.999$49.21
05-09 06:35Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY0.6475393503$200.00