PolyBot

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Traders

MarioAraez

0x52f4fcb1b82f23dfa3e195b17c01d98c8165ab89

Realised P&L
$245.44
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$446.42

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 06:24Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.6799999997$170.10
06-23 12:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5499999997$250.00
05-09 06:41Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?SELL0.999$49.21
05-09 06:35Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?BUY0.6475393503$200.00
05-09 06:23Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.4199999985$150.00
05-09 06:21Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.61$289.01
05-06 19:30Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?SELL0.011$1.27
05-05 10:38Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.6746031723$75.00
04-20 17:23Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.5075060139$25.00
04-20 14:53Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.9921980983$100.17
04-15 11:54Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad MedjedovicBUY0.6599999988$83.27
04-15 08:42BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos TsitsipasBUY0.5799999988$48.74
04-14 10:01Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.4971198862$75.00
04-14 09:58Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?BUY0.2850122811$37.71
04-14 09:58Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?BUY0.3362571453$37.88