PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marcocelestin20

0x52cf96d396e62a149d266f92021ba6a4cb48946a

Realised P&L
$-226.51
Volume
$47.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$8.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0750.043$5.67$4.33
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$3.06$6.94
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-04 06:49Will Artemis II launch by February 28?BUY0.01$0.26
02-04 06:38Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?BUY0.078$2.41
02-04 06:08Will James Harden get traded to Cleveland Cavaliers?BUY0.001$5.00
02-04 06:07Will James Harden get traded to Miami Heat?BUY0.005$1.20
02-04 06:07Will James Harden get traded to New York Knicks?BUY0.004$0.53
02-04 06:06Will James Harden get traded to Los Angeles Lakers?BUY0.004$0.05
02-04 06:06Will James Harden get traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?BUY0.001$0.12
02-04 06:06Will James Harden get traded to Houston Rockets?BUY0.001$0.20
02-04 06:05Will James Harden not be traded?BUY0.001$0.32
02-04 06:01Big Game: Scorigami?BUY0.0519999513$1.00
02-04 05:55U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY0.0552631545$15.00
02-04 05:43Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
02-04 05:42Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?BUY0.0859999642$2.00
02-04 05:38Will James Harden get traded to Toronto Raptors?BUY0.005$1.00
02-04 05:36Will the US strike Yemen next?BUY0.08$5.00