PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HYDefire

0x52ca2981dc8cf1c31684194960068bbc0be21c58

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$37.0k
Markets traded
1,185
Open portfolio
$86.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,185
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 14:43Will Trump say "Thomas Jefferson" in August?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
08-23 14:43Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-23 14:34Will Trump say "World War" this week?BUY0.54$1.00
08-23 14:33Will Trump say "Hunter" this week?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-23 14:33Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-23 14:32Will Trump say "Human Printer" this week?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-23 14:19Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8009993288$1.00
08-20 14:05Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-20 14:02Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
08-20 13:53Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
08-20 13:53Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-20 13:40Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.81$3.00
08-20 13:34Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.859999656$2.00
08-20 13:30Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7699997035$2.00
08-20 13:25Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00