MajidJavadi
0x52b74441def3510e1839eadac7875423c0b54597
- Realised P&L
- $56.1k
- Volume
- $8.29M
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $29.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No | 0.395 | 0.870 | $17.0k | +$9.3k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.400 | 0.825 | $9.2k | +$4.7k |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes | 0.419 | 0.815 | $2.8k | +$1.4k |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.949 | $928.50 | +$243.26 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.460 | 0.940 | $19.15 | +$9.78 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.910 | $9.10 | +$4.10 |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.920 | $7.36 | +$3.36 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? · No | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.1kat 0.330US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$47.9kat 0.177Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$20.9kat 0.004Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
- +$9.3kat 0.658France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$9.2kat 0.919Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 07:03 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.8718498613 | $5.0k |
| 04-16 12:28 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.8593305662 | $1.6k |
| 04-14 10:44 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $465.58 |
| 04-08 03:32 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.8k |
| 04-08 02:31 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0927994824 | $179.29 |
| 04-08 02:31 | Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1165517241 | $33.80 |
| 04-06 02:58 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.0k |
| 04-02 01:56 | Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | SELL | 0.7217663185 | $22.11 |
| 04-02 01:56 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | SELL | 0.0884370985 | $31.53 |
| 04-01 18:57 | Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | BUY | 0.121 | $29.91 |
| 04-01 18:44 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.8555526066 | $63.18 |
| 04-01 18:26 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.8487057164 | $1.8k |
| 04-01 18:24 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.85 | $149.50 |
| 04-01 18:20 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.8499953819 | $2.9k |
| 04-01 18:00 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.7679202755 | $811.80 |