PolyBot

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Traders

Ivan707

0x52a95a757ce8c1e965f5cf0b59048e927ee381e8

Realised P&L
$-4.75
Volume
$266.72
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$31.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.785$12.08+$2.08
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · No0.5800.695$5.99+$0.99
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.435$4.35$0.65
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.275$3.62$1.38
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.195$3.15$2.35
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.0980.022$1.15$3.85
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.017$1.03$6.47
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · Yes0.6300.021$0.17$4.83
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.3800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 13:03Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
07-31 13:02Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.179$5.11
07-30 09:18Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999716$5.50
07-30 09:14Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?SELL0.94$5.46
07-29 09:03Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.12$7.50
07-29 08:58Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.0979999826$5.00
07-29 08:55Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1749999746$5.00
07-29 08:50Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
07-29 08:47Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?BUY0.6299999017$5.00
07-29 08:41Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
07-29 08:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
07-29 08:37Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.86$5.00
07-29 08:36Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3799999742$5.00